REPRODUCIBLE DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS: UKRAINE DAD-IS REPORT SUMMARIES

Formulae: N=R+S+U; K=R+S; coverage=K/N; unknown share=U/N;
risk among known=R/K; all-record risk share=R/N; allocation bounds=[R/N,(R+U)/N].
R=at risk; S=not at risk; U=unknown. Percentages below are rounded to two decimals.

2021 SNAPSHOT
Source: FAO. Status and trends of animal genetic resources - 2020. CGRFA-18/21/10.2/Inf.6.
Publication: July 2021; data: 3 February 2021.
Location: p. 32, Annex 2, section 2.3, Ukraine row.
https://www.fao.org/3/ng620en/ng620en.pdf

Local
  At risk=47; not at risk=13; unknown=2; total=62; known=60.
  Known coverage=96.77%; unknown=3.23%.
  At risk among known=78.33%; at risk among all=75.81%.
  Unknown-allocation range=75.81% to 79.03%.

Regional transboundary
  At risk=7; not at risk=7; unknown=4; total=18; known=14.
  Known coverage=77.78%; unknown=22.22%.
  At risk among known=50.00%; at risk among all=38.89%.
  Unknown-allocation range=38.89% to 61.11%.

International transboundary
  At risk=4; not at risk=60; unknown=9; total=73; known=64.
  Known coverage=87.67%; unknown=12.33%.
  At risk among known=6.25%; at risk among all=5.48%.
  Unknown-allocation range=5.48% to 17.81%.

All classes
  At risk=58; not at risk=80; unknown=15; total=153; known=138.
  Known coverage=90.20%; unknown=9.80%.
  At risk among known=42.03%; at risk among all=37.91%.
  Unknown-allocation range=37.91% to 47.71%.

2022 SNAPSHOT
Source: FAO. Status and trends of animal genetic resources - 2022. CGRFA/WG-AnGR-12/23/4/Inf.1.
Publication: November 2022; data: 2 September 2022.
Location: p. 32, Annex 2, section 2.3, Ukraine row.
https://www.fao.org/4/cc3705en/cc3705en.pdf

Local
  At risk=45; not at risk=13; unknown=10; total=68; known=58.
  Known coverage=85.29%; unknown=14.71%.
  At risk among known=77.59%; at risk among all=66.18%.
  Unknown-allocation range=66.18% to 80.88%.

Regional transboundary
  At risk=11; not at risk=2; unknown=5; total=18; known=13.
  Known coverage=72.22%; unknown=27.78%.
  At risk among known=84.62%; at risk among all=61.11%.
  Unknown-allocation range=61.11% to 88.89%.

International transboundary
  At risk=17; not at risk=48; unknown=10; total=75; known=65.
  Known coverage=86.67%; unknown=13.33%.
  At risk among known=26.15%; at risk among all=22.67%.
  Unknown-allocation range=22.67% to 36.00%.

All classes
  At risk=73; not at risk=63; unknown=25; total=161; known=136.
  Known coverage=84.47%; unknown=15.53%.
  At risk among known=53.68%; at risk among all=45.34%.
  Unknown-allocation range=45.34% to 60.87%.

CHANGE FROM FEBRUARY 2021 TO SEPTEMBER 2022

Local
  Total records: +6; known records: -2; unknown records: +8.
  Known coverage: -11.48 percentage points.
  Unknown share: +11.48 percentage points.
  At risk among known: -0.75 percentage points.

Regional transboundary
  Total records: +0; known records: -1; unknown records: +1.
  Known coverage: -5.56 percentage points.
  Unknown share: +5.56 percentage points.
  At risk among known: +34.62 percentage points.

International transboundary
  Total records: +2; known records: +1; unknown records: +1.
  Known coverage: -1.00 percentage points.
  Unknown share: +1.00 percentage points.
  At risk among known: +19.90 percentage points.

All classes
  Total records: +8; known records: -2; unknown records: +10.
  Known coverage: -5.72 percentage points.
  Unknown share: +5.72 percentage points.
  At risk among known: +11.65 percentage points.

2022 EXTREME UNKNOWN ALLOCATIONS

Local lower bound (66.18%) exceeds international-transboundary upper bound (36.00%) by 30.18 percentage points.
This separation concerns recorded class summaries with known statuses held fixed; it does not establish causation or a difference in individual animal survival probability.

INTERPRETATION LIMITS
- Local means reported in one country; it is not a verified indigenous-breed subset.
- Rows are published historical summaries, not matched individual breed records.
- The analysis uses the source table's non-extinct risk-status denominator.
- Source publication year, database snapshot date, and animal census year are different.
- All-class statistics are descriptive and are not the official local-breed SDG indicator.
- Unknown-allocation bounds hold reported known classifications fixed and vary only unknown categories.
- These arithmetic bounds are not confidence intervals, forecasts, or estimates of true biological risk.
- Do not infer which breeds changed categories, war effects, or population abundance from aggregate row differences.
- Transboundary columns reproduce the source's country-row classification; global breed survival and national genetic erosion are distinct.
